Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 10.8%
The current population of the Bakersfield, CA Market is 930,767 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 10.8%, resulting in a Population of 1,030,996 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 2nd across STI Markets. The Bakersfield, CA Market currently ranks 102nd in overall population, and will rank 99th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -0.6% to 14.2%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 10.8% for Bakersfield, CA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 14.2% at 1,062,885. Similarly a population change as low as -0.6% at 924,955 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 23.1%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Bakersfield, CA Market to be 1,145,801 resulting in a change of 23.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 2nd across STI Markets. The Bakersfield, CA Market currently ranks 102nd in overall population, and will rank 92nd by January 2036.
