Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 6.8%
The current population of the Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market is 2,166,310 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 6.8%, resulting in a Population of 2,314,110 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 13th across STI Markets. The Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market currently ranks 49th in overall population, and will rank 47th by April 2030.
High and Low Range - -1.2% to 11.6%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 6.8% for Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 11.6% at 2,416,886. Similarly a population change as low as -1.2% at 2,140,289 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 15.1%
By April 2035 we project the Population of the Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market to be 2,493,787 resulting in a change of 15.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 11th across STI Markets. The Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market currently ranks 49th in overall population, and will rank 45th by April 2035.
