Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 6.8%
The current population of the Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market is 2,182,566 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 6.8%, resulting in a Population of 2,331,468 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 13th across STI Markets. The Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market currently ranks 48th in overall population, and will rank 47th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -0.2% to 11%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 6.8% for Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 11% at 2,421,790. Similarly a population change as low as -0.2% at 2,177,420 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 15.2%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market to be 2,513,314 resulting in a change of 15.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 11th across STI Markets. The Fresno-Merced-Porterville, CA Market currently ranks 48th in overall population, and will rank 45th by January 2036.
