Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 4.8%

The current population of the Medford-Ashland, OR Market is 802,536 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 4.8%, resulting in a Population of 841,172 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 31st across STI Markets. The Medford-Ashland, OR Market currently ranks 115th in overall population, and will rank 111th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -0.9% to 9.8%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 4.8% for Medford-Ashland, OR Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 9.8% at 880,834. Similarly a population change as low as -0.9% at 795,081 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 10.2%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Medford-Ashland, OR Market to be 884,169 resulting in a change of 10.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 32nd across STI Markets. The Medford-Ashland, OR Market currently ranks 115th in overall population, and will rank 111th by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic