Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 7.5%
The current population of the Stockton-Modesto, CA Market is 1,498,550 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 7.5%, resulting in a Population of 1,610,493 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 6th across STI Markets. The Stockton-Modesto, CA Market currently ranks 67th in overall population, and will rank 66th by April 2030.
High and Low Range - -1.3% to 12.6%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 7.5% for Stockton-Modesto, CA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 12.6% at 1,687,147. Similarly a population change as low as -1.3% at 1,479,493 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 16.4%
By April 2035 we project the Population of the Stockton-Modesto, CA Market to be 1,744,912 resulting in a change of 16.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 7th across STI Markets. The Stockton-Modesto, CA Market currently ranks 67th in overall population, and will rank 61st by April 2035.
