Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 7.5%
The current population of the Stockton-Modesto, CA Market is 1,501,864 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 7.5%, resulting in a Population of 1,614,146 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 6th across STI Markets. The Stockton-Modesto, CA Market currently ranks 67th in overall population, and will rank 66th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - 0% to 11.8%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 7.5% for Stockton-Modesto, CA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 11.8% at 1,679,736. Similarly a population change as low as 0% at 1,501,390 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 16.5%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Stockton-Modesto, CA Market to be 1,749,583 resulting in a change of 16.5% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 7th across STI Markets. The Stockton-Modesto, CA Market currently ranks 67th in overall population, and will rank 62nd by January 2036.
