Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 7.5%
The current population of the Phoenix-Mesa-Tucson, AZ Market is 6,854,595 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 7.5%, resulting in a Population of 7,365,560 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 7th across STI Markets. The Phoenix-Mesa-Tucson, AZ Market currently ranks 9th in overall population, and will rank 9th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -0.1% to 21.6%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 7.5% for Phoenix-Mesa-Tucson, AZ Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 21.6% at 8,331,837. Similarly a population change as low as -0.1% at 6,850,444 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 16.7%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Phoenix-Mesa-Tucson, AZ Market to be 7,997,385 resulting in a change of 16.7% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 5th across STI Markets. The Phoenix-Mesa-Tucson, AZ Market currently ranks 9th in overall population, and will rank 8th by January 2036.
