Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 6.3%

The current population of the Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Market is 4,770,652 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 6.3%, resulting in a Population of 5,072,535 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 17th across STI Markets. The Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Market currently ranks 17th in overall population, and will rank 17th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.8% to 11.5%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 6.3% for Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 11.5% at 5,318,968. Similarly a population change as low as -1.8% at 4,683,091 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 14%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Market to be 5,440,869 resulting in a change of 14% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 15th across STI Markets. The Riverside-San Bernardino, CA Market currently ranks 17th in overall population, and will rank 17th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic