Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 2.4%

The current population of the San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market is 2,729,817 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 2.4%, resulting in a Population of 2,795,663 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 88th across STI Markets. The San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market currently ranks 40th in overall population, and will rank 40th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -2% to 8.4%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 2.4% for San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 8.4% at 2,958,383. Similarly a population change as low as -2% at 2,675,686 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 5.2%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market to be 2,871,484 resulting in a change of 5.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 86th across STI Markets. The San Jose-Salinas-Santa Cruz, CA Market currently ranks 40th in overall population, and will rank 40th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic