Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 3.7%
The current population of the Amarillo, TX Market is 527,977 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 3.7%, resulting in a Population of 547,597 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 55th across STI Markets. The Amarillo, TX Market currently ranks 141st in overall population, and will rank 142nd by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -2.1% to 9.1%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 3.7% for Amarillo, TX Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 9.1% at 575,937. Similarly a population change as low as -2.1% at 516,838 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 8.2%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Amarillo, TX Market to be 571,138 resulting in a change of 8.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 55th across STI Markets. The Amarillo, TX Market currently ranks 141st in overall population, and will rank 142nd by January 2036.
