Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 7.1%

The current population of the Austin-San Marcos, TX Market is 2,737,949 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 7.1%, resulting in a Population of 2,933,035 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 9th across STI Markets. The Austin-San Marcos, TX Market currently ranks 39th in overall population, and will rank 37th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -3% to 40.6%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 7.1% for Austin-San Marcos, TX Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 40.6% at 3,849,418. Similarly a population change as low as -3% at 2,656,253 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 16.1%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Austin-San Marcos, TX Market to be 3,178,607 resulting in a change of 16.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 8th across STI Markets. The Austin-San Marcos, TX Market currently ranks 39th in overall population, and will rank 35th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic