Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 6.1%

The current population of the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market is 8,603,815 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 6.1%, resulting in a Population of 9,128,663 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 20th across STI Markets. The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market currently ranks 5th in overall population, and will rank 5th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - 0.7% to 28.3%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 6.1% for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 28.3% at 11,040,682. Similarly a population change as low as 0.7% at 8,660,273 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 13.9%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market to be 9,799,447 resulting in a change of 13.9% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 18th across STI Markets. The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market currently ranks 5th in overall population, and will rank 3rd by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic