Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 6.1%

The current population of the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market is 8,577,253 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 6.1%, resulting in a Population of 9,099,518 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 20th across STI Markets. The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market currently ranks 5th in overall population, and will rank 5th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -2.2% to 29.6%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 6.1% for Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 29.6% at 11,116,193. Similarly a population change as low as -2.2% at 8,387,668 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 13.8%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market to be 9,764,470 resulting in a change of 13.8% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 18th across STI Markets. The Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX Market currently ranks 5th in overall population, and will rank 4th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic