Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 5%

The current population of the El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market is 1,258,153 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 5%, resulting in a Population of 1,321,451 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 29th across STI Markets. The El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market currently ranks 84th in overall population, and will rank 83rd by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -2% to 15.2%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 5% for El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 15.2% at 1,449,661. Similarly a population change as low as -2% at 1,232,825 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 11%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market to be 1,396,922 resulting in a change of 11% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 28th across STI Markets. The El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market currently ranks 84th in overall population, and will rank 80th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic