Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 5%
The current population of the El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market is 1,262,877 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 5%, resulting in a Population of 1,326,445 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 29th across STI Markets. The El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market currently ranks 84th in overall population, and will rank 83rd by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -1.1% to 14.7%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 5% for El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 14.7% at 1,448,409. Similarly a population change as low as -1.1% at 1,249,405 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 11.1%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market to be 1,403,552 resulting in a change of 11.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 28th across STI Markets. The El Paso-Las Cruces, TX-NM Market currently ranks 84th in overall population, and will rank 81st by January 2036.
