Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 3%

The current population of the Fort Smith, AR-OK Market is 551,540 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 3%, resulting in a Population of 568,000 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 73rd across STI Markets. The Fort Smith, AR-OK Market currently ranks 140th in overall population, and will rank 141st by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.2% to 6%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 3% for Fort Smith, AR-OK Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 6% at 584,632. Similarly a population change as low as -1.2% at 545,183 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 6.5%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Fort Smith, AR-OK Market to be 587,316 resulting in a change of 6.5% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 69th across STI Markets. The Fort Smith, AR-OK Market currently ranks 140th in overall population, and will rank 141st by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic