Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 3%
The current population of the Fort Smith, AR-OK Market is 554,695 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 3%, resulting in a Population of 571,249 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 73rd across STI Markets. The Fort Smith, AR-OK Market currently ranks 140th in overall population, and will rank 141st by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -0.4% to 6.1%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 3% for Fort Smith, AR-OK Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 6.1% at 588,552. Similarly a population change as low as -0.4% at 552,711 is not without possibility.

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 6.5%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Fort Smith, AR-OK Market to be 590,750 resulting in a change of 6.5% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 69th across STI Markets. The Fort Smith, AR-OK Market currently ranks 140th in overall population, and will rank 141st by January 2036.



