Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 7.4%
The current population of the Rio Grande Valley, TX Market is 1,913,144 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 7.4%, resulting in a Population of 2,053,906 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 8th across STI Markets. The Rio Grande Valley, TX Market currently ranks 57th in overall population, and will rank 51st by January 2031.
High and Low Range - 0.3% to 19.3%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 7.4% for Rio Grande Valley, TX Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 19.3% at 2,281,954. Similarly a population change as low as 0.3% at 1,918,842 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 16.1%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Rio Grande Valley, TX Market to be 2,221,662 resulting in a change of 16.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 9th across STI Markets. The Rio Grande Valley, TX Market currently ranks 57th in overall population, and will rank 51st by January 2036.
