Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 1.5%
The current population of the Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market is 507,735 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 1.5%, resulting in a Population of 515,397 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 114th across STI Markets. The Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market currently ranks 145th in overall population, and will rank 145th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -1.1% to 4.6%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 1.5% for Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 4.6% at 530,994. Similarly a population change as low as -1.1% at 502,120 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 3.2%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market to be 523,766 resulting in a change of 3.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 113th across STI Markets. The Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market currently ranks 145th in overall population, and will rank 145th by January 2036.
