Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 1.5%

The current population of the Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market is 503,701 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 1.5%, resulting in a Population of 511,282 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 114th across STI Markets. The Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market currently ranks 145th in overall population, and will rank 145th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.7% to 4.7%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 1.5% for Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 4.7% at 527,573. Similarly a population change as low as -1.7% at 495,124 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 3.1%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market to be 519,534 resulting in a change of 3.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 113th across STI Markets. The Texarkana, TX-Texarkana, AR Market currently ranks 145th in overall population, and will rank 145th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic