Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - -1.3%

The current population of the Rochester, MN Market is 802,353 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of -1.3%, resulting in a Population of 791,757 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 157th across STI Markets. The Rochester, MN Market currently ranks 116th in overall population, and will rank 118th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -2.5% to 6.8%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of -1.3% for Rochester, MN Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 6.8% at 856,754. Similarly a population change as low as -2.5% at 782,246 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 0.5%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Rochester, MN Market to be 806,192 resulting in a change of 0.5% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 139th across STI Markets. The Rochester, MN Market currently ranks 116th in overall population, and will rank 119th by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic