Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 7.8%

The current population of the Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market is 1,534,467 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 7.8%, resulting in a Population of 1,653,675 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 4th across STI Markets. The Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market currently ranks 65th in overall population, and will rank 63rd by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -0.7% to 14.8%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 7.8% for Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 14.8% at 1,761,120. Similarly a population change as low as -0.7% at 1,523,697 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 17.2%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market to be 1,798,166 resulting in a change of 17.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 4th across STI Markets. The Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market currently ranks 65th in overall population, and will rank 60th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic