Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 7.8%

The current population of the Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market is 1,547,334 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 7.8%, resulting in a Population of 1,667,913 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 4th across STI Markets. The Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market currently ranks 65th in overall population, and will rank 63rd by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - 1.9% to 14.9%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 7.8% for Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 14.9% at 1,778,495. Similarly a population change as low as 1.9% at 1,576,475 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 17.3%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market to be 1,814,517 resulting in a change of 17.3% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 4th across STI Markets. The Springfield-Fayetteville, MO-AR Market currently ranks 65th in overall population, and will rank 60th by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic