Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - -3.8%

The current population of the Topeka, KS Market is 473,594 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of -3.8%, resulting in a Population of 455,802 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 166th across STI Markets. The Topeka, KS Market currently ranks 150th in overall population, and will rank 151st by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -5.2% to 4.8%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of -3.8% for Topeka, KS Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 4.8% at 496,481. Similarly a population change as low as -5.2% at 449,046 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - -5.8%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Topeka, KS Market to be 445,939 resulting in a change of -5.8% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 166th across STI Markets. The Topeka, KS Market currently ranks 150th in overall population, and will rank 152nd by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic