Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 5.2%

The current population of the Jacksonville-Gainesville, FL Market is 2,579,673 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 5.2%, resulting in a Population of 2,712,982 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 25th across STI Markets. The Jacksonville-Gainesville, FL Market currently ranks 42nd in overall population, and will rank 42nd by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.5% to 20.7%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 5.2% for Jacksonville-Gainesville, FL Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 20.7% at 3,113,650. Similarly a population change as low as -1.5% at 2,540,667 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 11.2%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Jacksonville-Gainesville, FL Market to be 2,869,662 resulting in a change of 11.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 26th across STI Markets. The Jacksonville-Gainesville, FL Market currently ranks 42nd in overall population, and will rank 41st by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic