Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 1.2%
The current population of the Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market is 826,234 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 1.2%, resulting in a Population of 836,086 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 120th across STI Markets. The Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market currently ranks 111th in overall population, and will rank 112th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -1% to 5.7%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 1.2% for Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 5.7% at 873,374. Similarly a population change as low as -1% at 818,328 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 2.4%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market to be 845,829 resulting in a change of 2.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 121st across STI Markets. The Johnson City-Kingsport-Bristol, TN Market currently ranks 111th in overall population, and will rank 113th by January 2036.
