Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 3.9%
The current population of the Knoxville, TN Market is 1,438,449 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 3.9%, resulting in a Population of 1,494,888 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 53rd across STI Markets. The Knoxville, TN Market currently ranks 70th in overall population, and will rank 70th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - 0.8% to 12%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 3.9% for Knoxville, TN Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 12% at 1,610,697. Similarly a population change as low as 0.8% at 1,449,956 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 8.4%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Knoxville, TN Market to be 1,559,182 resulting in a change of 8.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 53rd across STI Markets. The Knoxville, TN Market currently ranks 70th in overall population, and will rank 70th by January 2036.
