Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 4%

The current population of the Little Rock-Pine Bluff, AR Market is 1,429,127 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 4%, resulting in a Population of 1,486,898 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 48th across STI Markets. The Little Rock-Pine Bluff, AR Market currently ranks 72nd in overall population, and will rank 71st by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -0.7% to 7.1%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 4% for Little Rock-Pine Bluff, AR Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 7.1% at 1,531,237. Similarly a population change as low as -0.7% at 1,418,894 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 9.1%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Little Rock-Pine Bluff, AR Market to be 1,558,725 resulting in a change of 9.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 45th across STI Markets. The Little Rock-Pine Bluff, AR Market currently ranks 72nd in overall population, and will rank 71st by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic