Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 2%
The current population of the Memphis, TN-AR-MS Market is 1,614,886 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 2%, resulting in a Population of 1,647,173 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 101st across STI Markets. The Memphis, TN-AR-MS Market currently ranks 64th in overall population, and will rank 65th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -1.8% to 7%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 2% for Memphis, TN-AR-MS Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 7% at 1,728,684. Similarly a population change as low as -1.8% at 1,585,078 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 4.3%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Memphis, TN-AR-MS Market to be 1,684,053 resulting in a change of 4.3% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 101st across STI Markets. The Memphis, TN-AR-MS Market currently ranks 64th in overall population, and will rank 66th by January 2036.
