Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 2.8%

The current population of the Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market is 2,345,541 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 2.8%, resulting in a Population of 2,412,333 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 76th across STI Markets. The Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market currently ranks 45th in overall population, and will rank 45th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.7% to 12.1%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 2.8% for Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 12.1% at 2,629,163. Similarly a population change as low as -1.7% at 2,305,594 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 6.1%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market to be 2,488,878 resulting in a change of 6.1% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 73rd across STI Markets. The Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market currently ranks 45th in overall population, and will rank 46th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic