Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 2.9%

The current population of the Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market is 2,362,385 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 2.9%, resulting in a Population of 2,429,760 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 76th across STI Markets. The Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market currently ranks 45th in overall population, and will rank 45th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -0.1% to 11.9%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 2.9% for Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 11.9% at 2,643,073. Similarly a population change as low as -0.1% at 2,359,379 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 6.2%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market to be 2,507,736 resulting in a change of 6.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 73rd across STI Markets. The Mobile-Pensacola-Gulfport, AL-FL-MS Market currently ranks 45th in overall population, and will rank 46th by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic