Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 5.1%
The current population of the Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market is 5,590,861 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 5.1%, resulting in a Population of 5,876,852 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 28th across STI Markets. The Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market currently ranks 15th in overall population, and will rank 14th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -0.5% to 21.5%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 5.1% for Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 21.5% at 6,795,471. Similarly a population change as low as -0.5% at 5,562,077 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 11.4%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market to be 6,227,002 resulting in a change of 11.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 25th across STI Markets. The Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market currently ranks 15th in overall population, and will rank 11th by January 2036.
