Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 5.1%
The current population of the Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market is 5,586,323 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 5.1%, resulting in a Population of 5,871,382 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 28th across STI Markets. The Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market currently ranks 15th in overall population, and will rank 14th by April 2030.
High and Low Range - -2.3% to 22%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 5.1% for Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 22% at 6,813,919. Similarly a population change as low as -2.3% at 5,455,156 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 11.3%
By April 2035 we project the Population of the Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market to be 6,217,945 resulting in a change of 11.3% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 25th across STI Markets. The Tampa-Lakeland-Sarasota, FL Market currently ranks 15th in overall population, and will rank 12th by April 2035.
