Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 3.4%

The current population of the Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market is 1,888,088 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 3.4%, resulting in a Population of 1,952,656 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 60th across STI Markets. The Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market currently ranks 58th in overall population, and will rank 58th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.2% to 18.4%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 3.4% for Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 18.4% at 2,235,062. Similarly a population change as low as -1.2% at 1,864,771 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 7.4%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market to be 2,028,537 resulting in a change of 7.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 59th across STI Markets. The Wilmington-Myrtle Beach, SC-NC Market currently ranks 58th in overall population, and will rank 57th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic