Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - -1.3%
The current population of the Buffalo-Rochester, NY Market is 2,816,122 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of -1.3%, resulting in a Population of 2,778,634 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 158th across STI Markets. The Buffalo-Rochester, NY Market currently ranks 37th in overall population, and will rank 40th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -2.4% to 3.8%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of -1.3% for Buffalo-Rochester, NY Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 3.8% at 2,923,160. Similarly a population change as low as -2.4% at 2,749,178 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - -3%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Buffalo-Rochester, NY Market to be 2,731,304 resulting in a change of -3% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 161st across STI Markets. The Buffalo-Rochester, NY Market currently ranks 37th in overall population, and will rank 42nd by January 2036.
