Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 4.2%

The current population of the Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market is 1,907,141 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 4.2%, resulting in a Population of 1,987,148 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 45th across STI Markets. The Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market currently ranks 56th in overall population, and will rank 56th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.2% to 13.6%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 4.2% for Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 13.6% at 2,166,929. Similarly a population change as low as -1.2% at 1,883,317 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 9.3%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market to be 2,084,307 resulting in a change of 9.3% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 39th across STI Markets. The Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market currently ranks 56th in overall population, and will rank 53rd by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic