Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 4.2%

The current population of the Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market is 1,921,141 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 4.2%, resulting in a Population of 2,001,897 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 44th across STI Markets. The Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market currently ranks 55th in overall population, and will rank 55th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - 0.6% to 12.7%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 4.2% for Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 12.7% at 2,164,282. Similarly a population change as low as 0.6% at 1,932,619 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 9.3%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market to be 2,100,317 resulting in a change of 9.3% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 40th across STI Markets. The Richmond-Charlottesville, VA Market currently ranks 55th in overall population, and will rank 53rd by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic