Population Forecast
5 year Forecast - 2.1%
The current population of the Lancaster-Harrisburg-York, PA Market is 2,172,276 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 2.1%, resulting in a Population of 2,218,841 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 94th across STI Markets. The Lancaster-Harrisburg-York, PA Market currently ranks 49th in overall population, and will rank 50th by January 2031.
High and Low Range - -0.4% to 6.1%
While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 2.1% for Lancaster-Harrisburg-York, PA Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 6.1% at 2,305,502. Similarly a population change as low as -0.4% at 2,162,527 is not without possibility.
Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast
10 year Projections - 4.5%
By January 2036 we project the Population of the Lancaster-Harrisburg-York, PA Market to be 2,269,731 resulting in a change of 4.5% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 95th across STI Markets. The Lancaster-Harrisburg-York, PA Market currently ranks 49th in overall population, and will rank 50th by January 2036.
