Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 2%

The current population of the Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Market is 1,973,920 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 2%, resulting in a Population of 2,013,808 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 100th across STI Markets. The Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Market currently ranks 52nd in overall population, and will rank 54th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -0.8% to 7.9%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 2% for Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 7.9% at 2,129,310. Similarly a population change as low as -0.8% at 1,957,227 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 4.4%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Market to be 2,061,637 resulting in a change of 4.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 96th across STI Markets. The Virginia Beach-Newport News, VA-NC Market currently ranks 52nd in overall population, and will rank 56th by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic