Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 4.3%

The current population of the Washington-Hagerstown, DC-MD-VA-WV Market is 7,235,965 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 4.3%, resulting in a Population of 7,545,286 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 39th across STI Markets. The Washington-Hagerstown, DC-MD-VA-WV Market currently ranks 8th in overall population, and will rank 8th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -0.5% to 12.5%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 4.3% for Washington-Hagerstown, DC-MD-VA-WV Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 12.5% at 8,140,140. Similarly a population change as low as -0.5% at 7,199,175 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 9.4%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Washington-Hagerstown, DC-MD-VA-WV Market to be 7,914,725 resulting in a change of 9.4% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 36th across STI Markets. The Washington-Hagerstown, DC-MD-VA-WV Market currently ranks 8th in overall population, and will rank 9th by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic