Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 1.5%

The current population of the Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market is 785,230 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 1.5%, resulting in a Population of 796,899 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 116th across STI Markets. The Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market currently ranks 117th in overall population, and will rank 116th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.4% to 9.2%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 1.5% for Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 9.2% at 857,189. Similarly a population change as low as -1.4% at 774,153 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 3.2%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market to be 810,536 resulting in a change of 3.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 112th across STI Markets. The Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market currently ranks 117th in overall population, and will rank 116th by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic