Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - 1.5%

The current population of the Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market is 779,309 as of the April 2025 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of 1.5%, resulting in a Population of 790,902 by April 2030. This percentage change in Population ranks 116th across STI Markets. The Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market currently ranks 117th in overall population, and will rank 117th by April 2030.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -2.4% to 9.6%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of 1.5% for Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 9.6% at 854,344. Similarly a population change as low as -2.4% at 760,958 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - 3.2%

By April 2035 we project the Population of the Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market to be 804,276 resulting in a change of 3.2% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 112th across STI Markets. The Wichita Falls-Sherman-Lawton, TX-OK Market currently ranks 117th in overall population, and will rank 118th by April 2035.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic