Population Forecast

5 year Forecast - -0.1%

The current population of the Burlington, VT Market is 837,156 as of the January 2026 PopStats estimate. PopStat’s Trend models indicate a 5 year population change of -0.1%, resulting in a Population of 835,919 by January 2031. This percentage change in Population ranks 142nd across STI Markets. The Burlington, VT Market currently ranks 110th in overall population, and will rank 113th by January 2031.

Market Comparison Map - 5 Year Change

5 year Forecast Market Map

Figure 71: 5 year Forecast Market Map

5 Year forecast by Census Tract

5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 72: 5 Year Percentage Change Thematic

High and Low Range - -1.6% to 4.2%

While the summation of mid range 5 year forecasts foresee a change in Population of -0.1% for Burlington, VT Market. The forecast high ranges of these forecasts leaves open the possibility for a Population change as high as 4.2% at 872,349. Similarly a population change as low as -1.6% at 823,448 is not without possibility.

Population Trend and Forecast

Figure 73: Population Trend and Forecast

Historical Trend and Forecast

Population Long Trend and Forecast

Figure 74: Population Long Trend and Forecast

10 year Projections - -0.3%

By January 2036 we project the Population of the Burlington, VT Market to be 834,484 resulting in a change of -0.3% compared to the current Population. This projected percentage change in Population ranks 144th across STI Markets. The Burlington, VT Market currently ranks 110th in overall population, and will rank 115th by January 2036.

10 year Projections by Census Tract

10 Year Percentage Change Thematic

Figure 75: 10 Year Percentage Change Thematic